Droughts could increase tenfold

Growers can expect droughts in the coming decades as a Met Office study on climate change in the UK found that they are likely to become more common.

The study looked at how frequently extreme droughts could happen by 2100. The Met Office climate model was used to run a number of simulations and these were then studied to determine how frequently 1976-style droughts could occur.

There were 11 slightly different versions of the model, producing a range of results. At the lower end, extreme droughts would continue to be as rare as they are today - happening every 50 to 100 years.

In the majority of other outcomes from the model, however, 1976-style droughts were more frequent. At the higher end, extreme droughts could happen once every decade - making them about 10 times more frequent than today.


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